Modernization of social-labor relations: scenarios, priorities, and effects

Economic Annals-XXI: Volume 131, Issue 7-8(1), Pages: 97-100

Citation information:
Theron, I. (2013). Modernization of social-labor relations: scenarios, priorities, and effects. Economic Annals-XXI, 7-8(1), 97-100. https://ea21journal.world/index.php/ea-v131-26/

Iryna Theron
PhD (Economics),
Senior Scientist,
Institute of Demography and Social Researches of the National Academy of Sciences, Kyiv, Ukraine
irina.teron@gmail.com

Modernization of social-labor relations: scenarios, priorities and effects

Abstract. Introduction. Article is devoted to research of alternative trajectories of social-labor relations modernization during the crisis, and globalization influences on strengthening and changing in economic cycles. Results. The essence of the most probable scenarios of these relations’ modernization is formulated. The features of innovative development, priorities of state regulation and results for a labor market and a social capital market formation are established. Three scenarios of social-economic relations development has been worked out and estimated. The optimistic scenario (15% of probability) needs the provision of advanced modernization of the social-labor relations basing on systemic innovation and productive social capital. The purpose of the basic (real) scenario (45% of probability) is ensuring minimal acceptable parameters of economic growth and prevention of a labor market destabilization. It provides partial innovation of the labor sphere and preventive recovery measures. The pessimistic scenario (40% of probability) provides secondary inorganic imitative modernization of а social-labor relations basing on economic determinism, domination of external influences and economic «genotype» of the West, minority of national socio-cultural aspects, and structural reforms slowdown. Conclusion. Only applying of the optimistic scenario which creates a new quality of social development on the state level gives an opportunity for the developing or transitive countries, and particularly Ukraine, to overcome negative national and global crisis effects. It is important to create conditions for the sixth technological mode spreading at business level, so that to enter to the next long phase of the Kondratyev’s economic growth cycle together with other countries. Otherwise, Ukraine could be pushed away from the world developmental and innovational processes.

Keywords: Social-Labor Relations; Scenario of Modernization; Innovations; Labor Market; State Regulation

JEL Classification: O11; H11; E24; J64

References

1. Libаnоvа, E. (2011). Modernization of the economy of Ukraine in the context of social challenges. Demografia ta sotsialna ekonomika (Demography and Social Economics), 1(15), 24-38 (in Ukr.).
2. Libаnоvа, E. (2012). Social problems of modernization of the Ukraine’s economy. Demografia ta sotsialna ekonomika (Demography and Social Economics), 1(17), 5-22 (in Ukr.).
3. Poberezhnikov, I. (2002). Modernization: theoretical and methodological approaches. Ekonomicheskaia istoria. Obozreniie (Economic History. Review), 8, 146-168 (in Russ.)
4. Eisenstadt, S. (2000). Multiple Modernities. Daedalus, 29(1), 3-29.
5. Pakhomov, Y. (2010). Main tasks of the post-crisis model of development of economic of Ukraine formation. Economic Annals-XXI, 1-2, 3-6.
   Retrieved from https://ea21journal.world/index.php/ea-v106-01/ (in Russ.)
6. Huntington, S. (1996). The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order. N-Y, London, Toronto, and Sydney: Simon & Schuster.
7. Soskin, О. (2013). Role of state regulation in formation of modern economic model: changing imperative in conditions of chaos. Economic Annals-XXI, 1-2(1), 3-7.
   Retrieved from https://ea21journal.world/index.php/ea-v125-01/ (in Ukr.)
8. Akaev, A., & Sadovnichiy, V. (2009). On the dynamics of world economic development in the light of the new approach to forecasting. Vek hlobalizatsii (Age of Globalization), 2, 3-16 (in Russ.)
9. Fedotovа, V. (2012). From catch-up modernization to the national: theoretical aspect.
   Retrieved from http://www.perspektivy.info/rus/gos/ot_dogonajushhej_modernizacii_k_nacionalnoj_teoreticheskij_aspekt_2007-12-07.htm (in Russ.)
10. Yasin, Е. (2012). Scenarios for Russia in the long-term period. A new impulse in two decades. Paper presented at XIII Intern. Acad. Conf. on Economic and Social Development. Moscow: HSE Publ. House (in Russ.).
11. Semikina, M., & Bevz, Z. (2010). The harmonization of the social-labor relations: the methodology of the estimation of the influential factors (2010). Zbirnyk naukovykh prats KNTU (Scientific Papers of Kirovograd National Technical University: Economics), 18(1), 106-114 (in Ukr.).

Received 23.06.2013