Technological forecasting as a prerequisite for successful country specialisation

Economic Annals-ХХI: Volume 164, Issue 3-4, Pages: 53-55

Citation information:
Pirozhkova, S. (2017). Technological forecasting as a prerequisite for successful country specialisation. Economic Annals-XXI, 164(3-4), 53-55. doi: https://doi.org/10.21003/ea.V164-12

Sophia Pirozhkova
PhD (Philosophy),
Senior Researcher,
Southwest State University
94, 50 let Oktyabrya Str., Kursk, 305040, Russian Federation
pirozhkovasv@gmail.com
ORCID ID: http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4477-4422

Technological forecasting as a prerequisite for successful country specialisation

Abstract. The article presents the results of the study showing how poor technological forecasting affects the determination of national economic development strategies. To accurately capture and neutralise negative effects of technological forecasting (TF), the author analyses it and reveals its complex multi-component and «foresighting» nature. The object of TF – the technological environment – is studied as a self-organising system which provides an optimal strategy for its controlled development. Such development should be based on «smart» diversification of scientific and technological potential, as well as on complex prognostic activity. Taking into account the need to support this strategy and the specifics of TF, the author identifies potential adverse effects of TF and proposes methodological recommendations for their neutralisation.

Keywords: Technological Forecasting; Foresight; National Economic Development Strategies; Risks of Innovative Development; «Smart» Diversification of Scientific and Technological Potential

JEL Classіfіcatіon: O32; O33; O38

Acknowledgement. The research was supported by the grant from the Russian Science Foundation, project No. 15-18-10013 «Socio-anthropological dimensions of convergent technologies».

DOI: https://doi.org/10.21003/ea.V164-12

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Received 26.01.2017