Assessing the contagion effect on herding behaviour under segmented and integrated stock markets circumstances in the USA, China, and ASEAN-5
Economic Annals-ХХI: Volume 169, Issue 1-2, Pages: 15-20
Citation information:
Wahyudi, S., Najmudin, Laksana, R. D., & Rachmawati, R. (2018). Assessing the contagion effect on herding behaviour under segmented and integrated stock markets circumstances in the USA, China, and ASEAN-5. Economic Annals-XXI, 169(1-2), 15-20. doi: https://doi.org/10.21003/ea.V169-03
Sugeng Wahyudi
PhD (Finance),
Professor,
Faculty of Economics and Business,
Diponegoro University
Prof. Soedarto SH Str., Semarang City, 50275, Central Java, Indonesia
sug_w@yahoo.com
ORCID ID: http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2889-7123
Najmudin
MA (Financial Economics),
Senior Lecturer,
Faculty of Economics and Business,
Jenderal Soedirman University;
PhD Candidate (Economics),
Diponegoro University
Prof. Bunyamin Str., Purwokerto City, 53122, Central Java, Indonesia
kuliah_najmudin@yahoo.co.id
ORCID ID: http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2201-6292
Rio Dhani Laksana
MA (Finance),
Lecturer,
Faculty of Economics and Business,
Jenderal Soedirman University;
PhD Candidate (Economics),
Diponegoro University
Prof. Bunyamin Str., Purwokerto City, 53122, Central Java, Indonesia
rio_dhani@yahoo.com
ORCID ID: http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2209-0233
Rina Rachmawati
MA (Finance),
Senior Lecturer,
Faculty of Engineering,
Semarang State University;
PhD Candidate (Economics),
Diponegoro University
Sekaran Str., Semarang City, 50229, Central Java, Indonesia
rinarkamal@gmail.com
ORCID ID: http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8594-5040
Assessing the contagion effect on herding behaviour under segmented and integrated stock markets circumstances in the USA, China, and ASEAN-5
Abstract. This paper investigates the contagion effect of herding behaviour in the US, China, and ASEAN-5 stock markets by considering the level of market integration. We employed individual stocks and market returns on daily basis data during the global financial crisis (GFC) and the recent tranquil periods. The sample observed consists of stocks having higher liquidity and larger market capitalisation in each of the stock markets. We applied the cross-sectional returns dispersion approach and ordinary least squares to achieve the purpose by involving static correlation. During the GFC period, the empirical result provides evidence on the presence of herding transmission from the dominant stock market to other integrated markets bilaterally. Specifically, herding behaviour in a domestic market was affected by herding activity in integrated foreign markets. By contrast, herding behaviour in a domestic market was not affected by herding in segmented foreign markets. Comparing to the recent tranquil period of 2017-2018, the contagion effect appears on the market only during the crisis period. Therefore, market participants should be more conservative in anticipating the emergence of this phenomenon for integrated markets under market crisis circumstances.
Keywords: Contagion Effect; Herding Behaviour; Integrated Market; USA; China; ASEAN-5
JEL Classification: F36; G12; G15
DOI: https://doi.org/10.21003/ea.V169-03
References
- Aytaç, B., Coqueret, G., & Mandou, C. (2018). Herding behavior among wine investors. Economic Modelling, 68, 318-328.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2017.07.022 - Bekaert, G., & Harvey, C. R. (1997). Emerging equity market volatility. Journal of Financial Economics, 43(1), 29-77.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(96)00889-6 - BenSaïda, A. (2017). Herding effect on idiosyncratic volatility in U.S. industries. Finance Research Letters, 23, 121-132.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2017.03.001 - Boyer, B. H., Kumagai, T., & Yuan, K. (2006). How Do Crises Spread? Evidence from Accessible and Inaccessible Stock Indices. The Journal of Finance, 61(2), 957-1003.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00860.x - Burzala, M. M. (2016). Contagion effects in selected European capital markets during the financial crisis of 2007-2009. Research in International Business and Finance, 37, 556-571.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2016.01.026 - Calvo, G. A., & Mendoza, E. G. (2000). Rational contagion and globalization of securities market. Journal of International Economics, 51, 79-113.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(99)00038-0 - Chang, E. C., Cheng, J. W., & Khorana, A. (2000). An Examination of Herd Behavior in Equity Markets: An International Perspective. Journal of Banking & Finance, 24(10), 1651-1679.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0378-4266(99)00096-5 - Chiang, T. C., Jeon, B. N., & Li, H. (2007). Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from Asian markets. Journal of International Money and Finance, 26(7), 1206-1228.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2007.06.005 - Chiang, T. C., & Zheng, D. (2010). An empirical analysis of herd behavior in global stock markets. Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(8), 1911-1921.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.12.014 - Economou, F., Kostakis, A., & Philippas, N. (2011). Cross-country effects in herding behaviour: Evidence from four south European markets. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 21(3), 443-460.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2011.01.005 - Galariotis, E. C., Rong, W., & Spyrou, S. I. (2015). Herding on fundamental information: A comparative study. Journal of Banking & Finance, 50, 589-598.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.03.014 - Grubel, H. G. (1968). Internationally Diversified Portfolios: Welfare Gains and Capital Flows. The American Economic Review, 58, 1299-1314.
Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/272112089 - Guney, Y., Kallinterakis, V., & Komba, G. (2017). Herding in frontier markets: Evidence from African stock exchanges. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 47, 152-175.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2016.11.001 - Hernández, L. F., & Valdés, R. O. (2001). What drives contagion: Trade, neighborhood, or financial links? International Review of Financial Analysis, 10(3), 203-218.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1057-5219(01)00052-7 - Karim, B. A., & Ning, H. X. (2013). Driving forces of the ASEAN-5 stock markets integration. Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Administration, 5(3), 186-191.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1108/APJBA-07-2012-0053 - Kawai, M., & Wignaraja, G. (2011). Asian FTAs: Trends, prospects and challenges. Journal of Asian Economics, 22(1), 1-22.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2010.10.002 - Kearney, C., & Lucey, B. M. (2004). International equity market integration: Theory, evidence and implications. International Review of Financial Analysis, 13(5), 571-583.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2004.02.013 - Khan, S., & Park, K. W. (2009). Contagion in the stock markets: The Asian financial crisis revisited. Journal of Asian Economics, 20(5), 561-569.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2009.07.001 - King, M. A., & Wadhani, S. (1990). Transmission of volatility between stock markets. The Review of Financial Studies, 3(1), 5-33.
Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/2961954 - Lee, K. (2017). Herd behavior of the overall market: Evidence based on the cross-sectional comovement of returns. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 42, 266-284.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2017.07.006 - Levy, H., & Sarnat, M. (1970). International Diversification of Investment Portfolios. The American Economic Review, 60(4), 668-675.
Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/1818410 - Litimi, H., BenSaïda, A., & Bouraoui, O. (2016). Herding and excessive risk in the American stock market: A sectoral analysis. Research in International Business and Finance, 38, 6-21.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2016.03.008 - Mobarek, A., & Mollah, S. (2016). Global Stock Market Integration: Co-Movement, Crises, and Efficiency in Developed and Emerging Markets. New York City: Palgrave Macmillan.
- Mobarek, A., Mollah, S., & Keasey, K. (2014). A cross-country analysis of herd behavior in Europe. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 32, 107-127.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2014.05.008 - Najmudin, Shaferi, I., Wahyudi, S., & Muharam, H. (2017). Dynamic Bilateral Integration of Stock Markets and Its Driving Factors. Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, XII(2(48)), 506-522.
Retrieved from http://www.cesmaa.eu/journals/jaes/files/JAES%20Spring%202(48)%20XII%202017_online.pdf - Najmudin, Syarif, D. H., Wahyudi, S., & Muharam, H. (2017). Applying an international CAPM to herding behaviour model for integrated stock markets. Journal of International Studies, 10(4), 47-62.
doi: https://doi.org/10.14254/2071-8330.2017/10-4/3 - Peltomäki, J., & Vähämaa, E. (2015). Investor attention to the Eurozone crisis and herding effects in national bank stock indexes. Finance Research Letters, 14, 111-116.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2015.05.009 - Tai, C.-Sh. (2007). Market integration and contagion: Evidence from Asian emerging stock and foreign exchange markets. Emerging Markets Review, 8(4), 264-283.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2006.09.011 - UNESCAP (2017). Enhancing regional economic cooperation and integration in Asia and the Pacific.
Retrieved from https://www.unescap.org/sites/default/files/Asia-Pacific%20RECI%20Report.pdf - Wang, G., & Wang, Y. (2018). Herding, social network and volatility. Economic Modelling, 68, 74-81.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2017.04.018
Received 3.05.2018