Impact of the agricultural division on the Iraqi Balance of Payments using VAR analysis

Economic Annals-ХХI: Volume 194, Issue (11-12), Pages: 13-20

Citation information:
Makki, M. R., Kadhim, R. N., & Abed, A. R. (2021). Impact of the agricultural division on the Iraqi Balance of Payments using VAR analysis. Economic Annals-XXI, 194(11-12), 13-20. doi: https://doi.org/10.21003/ea.V194-02

Mohammed Rasool Makki
MА (Economics),
Lecturer,
Department of Accounting, Technical Institute,
Middle Technical University
Central Str., Kut, 52001, Iraq
Mrm1991@mtu.edu.iq
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1661-9188

Ruaa Naseer Kadhim
PhD (Economics),
Senior Lecturer,
Statistical Department,
Faculty of Administration & Economics,
Wasit University
Central Str., Kut, 52001, Iraq
rkadam@uowasit.edu.iq
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6858-997X

Alyaa Razzaq Abed
MА (Economics),
Lecturer,
Faculty of medicine,
Wasit University
Central Str., Kut, 52001, Iraq
alyaarazzaq@uowasit.edu.iq
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5168-8149

Impact of the agricultural division on the Iraqi balance of payments using VAR analysis

Abstract. The research aims to identify the impact of the agricultural division on the Iraqi balance of payments (IBP) for the period of 2004-2020. There is an integration between the two variables: the added value of the Iraqi agricultural division and the current account of the Iraqi balance of payments during the study period. VAR analysis has been employed to explain how the agricultural division can affect the Iraqi balance of payments. The statistical model has been investigated using unit root test along with the causality test, which was conducted based on the ARDL methodology. The study results indicated that it was needed to provide all facilities and privileges to investors in the agricultural division to reach self-sufficiency in basic agricultural crops. It was proposed to increase government spending on the non-oil sectors in general and the agricultural division to diversify the sources of income for the Iraqi economy and reduce dependence on oil as a source of basic income.

Keywords: Agricultural Division; Balance of Payments; Added Value; Economics; Iraqi Balance of Payments; IBP; Iraq; Basic Rent Income

JEL Classifications: E12; E24; D01

Acknowledgements and Funding: The authors received no direct funding for this research.

Contribution: The authors contributed equally to this work

Data Availability Statement: The dataset is available from the authors upon request.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.21003/ea.V194-02

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Received 28.08.2021
Received in revised form 29.09.2021
Accepted 9.10.2021
Available online 27.12.2021