Structural modeling as a tool for assessing mechanisms of targeted social assistance in Kazakhstan
Economic Annals-XXI: Volume 207, Issue (1-2), Pages: 50-58
Citation information:
Zhailauov, Ye., Pritvorova, T., Kenzhebekov, N., Atabayeva, A., & Bektleeva, D. (2024). Structural modeling as a tool for assessing mechanisms of targeted social assistance in Kazakhstan. Economic Annals-XXI, 207(1-2), 50-58. doi: https://doi.org/10.21003/ea.V207-08
Yerlan Zhailauov
PhD (Economics),
Director,
«RATIONAL SOLUTION» LLP
23/7 Shakhterov Ave., office 10, Karaganda, 100026, Republic of Kazakhstan
zhailauov@rationalsolution.kz
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0609-6256
Tatyana Pritvorova
D.Sc. (Economics),
Chief Scientific Officer,
«RATIONAL SOLUTION» LLP,
23/7 Shakhterov Ave., office 10, Karaganda, 100026, Republic of Kazakhstan
pritvorova_@mail.ru
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6306-3960
Nurzhan Kenzhebekov
PhD (Economics),
Head, Laboratory of Socio-Economic Research,
Karaganda University of Kazpotrebsoyuz
9 Akademicheskaya Str., Karaganda, 100000, Republic of Kazakhstan
kenzhebekov@mail.ru
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1292-8653
Assiya Atabayeva
PhD (Economics),
Department of Accounting and Audit,
Karaganda Buketov University
28 University Str., Karaganda, 100024, Republic of Kazakhstan
atabayeva_assiya_1@buketov.edu.kz
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4644-1843
Dina Bektleeva
PhD (Economics),
Associate Professor,
Chief Specialist,
Department of Organization of Research Work,
Esil University
7 Akhmet Zhubanov Str., Astana, 010000, Republic of Kazakhstan
dinabek@mail.ru
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2829-279X
Structural modeling as a tool for assessing mechanisms of targeted social assistance in Kazakhstan
Abstract. In our research, we assess the mechanisms of targeted social assistance in Kazakhstan based on the processing of the results of a social poll of civil servants accepting applications for payments, using the Partial Least Squares Path Modeling (PLS-PM). The model allows building complex multidimensional relationships between observed and latent variables. We established a relationship between a set of indicators of the system’s effectiveness as a dependent variable, and factors of direct influence, methods and tools for ensuring targeting as independent variables. A number of problems in the current system of targeted social assistance were identified, concerning its target guidelines, the balance of benefits and obligations, the institutional environment, and specific recommendations for overcoming them were prepared.
Keywords: Conditional Cash Transfer; Employable Beneficiary; Regression Method; Employee; Unemployed; Employment Project; Targeted Social Assistance; Unconditional Cash Transfers; Conditional Cash Transfers
JEL Classification: I31; I38
Acknowledgements and Funding: This research has been funded by the Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan (Grant No. BR18574225).
Contribution: The authors contributed equally to this work.
Data Availability Statement: The dataset is available from the authors upon request.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.21003/ea.V207-08
References
- Ark-Yıldırım, C., & Smyrl, M. (2021). Cash Transfer with Turkish Characteristics: Two Local Examples. In: Social Cash Transfer in Turkey: Toward Market Citizenship (pp. 73-87). Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-70381-3_4
- Attanasio, Ο., Meghir, C., & Santiago, Α. (2005). Education Choices in Mexico: Using a Structural Model and a Randomized Experiment to Evaluate PROGRESA. IFS Working Paper 10/14. Institute for Fiscal Studies, London. https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/47515/1/635396335.pdf
- Azevedo, V., & Robles, M. (2013). Multidimensional targeting: Identifying beneficiaries of conditional cash transfer programs. Social Indicators Research, 112, 447-475. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-013-0255-5
- Baird, S., McIntosh, C., & Özler, B. (2019). When the money runs out: Do cash transfers have sustained effects on human capital accumulation? Journal of Development Economics, 140, 169-185. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2019.04.004
- Bastagli, F. (2009). From social safety net to social policy? The role of conditional cash transfers in welfare state development in Latin America. Working paper, 60. International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth (IPC-IG), Brasilia. https://www.econstor.eu/handle/10419/71826
- Basurto, M. P., Dupas, P., & Robinson, J. (2020). Decentralization and efficiency of subsidy targeting: Evidence from chiefs in rural Malawi. Journal of public economics, 185, 104047. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2019.07.006
- Bergstrom, K., & Dodds, W. (2021). The targeting benefit of conditional cash transfers. Journal of Public Economics, 194, 104330. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104330
- Bohnenberger, K. (2020). Money, vouchers, public infrastructures? A framework for sustainable welfare benefits. Sustainability, 12(2), 596. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12020596
- Bourguignon, F., Francisco, H. G., & Phillippe, G. L. (2003). Conditional Cash Transfers, Schooling, and Child Labor: Micro-Simulating Brazil’s Bolsa Escola Program. World Bank Economic Review, 17(2), 229-254. https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/517831468013154948/conditional-cash-transfers-schooling-and-child-labor-micro-simulating-brazils-bolsa-escola-program
- Bryan, Gh., Chowdhury, Sh., Mobarak, A. M., Morten, M., & Smits, J. (2022). Encouragement and distortionary effects of conditional cash transfers. IZA Discussion Paper, No. 14326. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3841907
- Cahyadi, N., Hanna, R., Olken, B. A., Prima, R. A., Satriawan, E., & Syamsulhakim, E. (2020). Cumulative impacts of conditional cash transfer programs: Experimental evidence from Indonesia. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 12(4), 88-110. https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20190245
- Caldés, N., & Maluccio, J. A. (2005). The cost of conditional cash transfers. Journal of International Development, 17(2), 151-168. https://doi.org/10.1002/jid.1142
- Caldés, N., Coady, D., & Maluccio, J. A. (2006). The cost of poverty alleviation transfer programs: A comparative analysis of three programs in Latin America. World Development, Elsevier, 34(5), 818-837. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2005.10.003
- Filmer, D., & Schady, N. (2011). Does more cash in conditional cash transfer programs always lead to larger impacts on school attendance? Journal of Development Economics, 96(1), 150-157. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2010.05.006
- Fuseini, M. N., Sulemana, M., Abdulai, I. A., Ibrahim, M. G., & Azure, E. (2022). Role of non-governmental organizations in poverty reduction in the global South: evidence from world vision Ghana, Kintampo South district. SN social sciences, 11(2), 240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43545-022-00545-y
- Grosh, M., Wai-Poi, M., & Tesliuc, E. (2022). Revisiting targeting in social assistance: A new look at old dilemmas. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank. https://hdl.handle.net/10986/37228
- Grosh, M., & Baker, J. L. (1995). Proxy means tests for targeting social programs. Living standards measurement study working paper, 118, 1-49. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank. https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents–reports/documentdetail/750401468776352539/proxy–means–tests–for–targeting–social–programs–simulations–and–speculation
- Haushofer, J., & Shapiro, J. (2016). The short-term impact of unconditional cash transfers to the poor: Experimental evidence from Kenya. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 31(4), 1973-2042. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw025
- Heckman, J. J., Urzua, S., & Vytlacil, E. (2006). Understanding Instrumental Variables in Models with Essential Heterogeneity. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 88(3), 389-432. http://www.jstor.org/stable/40043006
- Heimo, L. (2014). The idea of conditional cash transfers. [Master’s thesis, University of Tampere, School of Social Sciences and Humanities Social Policy]. https://trepo.tuni.fi/handle/10024/95900
- Joseph, F., Thomas, M., Christian, M., & Marko, S. (2016). A primer on partial least squares structural equation modeling PLS-SEM. Los Angeles: SAGE. https://eli.johogo.com/Class/CCU/SEM/_A%20Primer%20on%20Partial%20Least%20Squares
%20Structural%20Equation%20Modeling_Hair.pdf - Katerengabo, B., Gakuu, Ch., & Kidombo, H. (2023). Implementing Project Monitoring and Evaluation Plan with Beneficiaries for Improving Performance: Evidence from Tanzania Conditional Cash Transfer. International Journal of Sustainable Development Research, 9(1), 11-17. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijsdr.20230901.12
- Kwon-ju, H., & Kim, W. (2015). The Evolution of Cash Transfers in Indonesia: Policy Transfer and National Adaptation. Asia & the Pacific Policy Studies, 2(2), 425-440. https://doi.org/10.1002/app5.83
- Ladhani, S., & Sitter, K. (2020). Conditional cash transfers: A critical review. Development Policy Review, 38(1), 28-41. https://doi.org/10.1111/dpr.12416
- Lindert, K., Linder, A., Hobbs, J., & Brière, B. (2007). The Nuts and Bolts of Brazil’s Bolsa Familia Program: Implementing Conditional Cash Transfers in a Decentralized Context. Social Protection Discussion Paper, No. 0709. https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/972261468231296002/pdf/398530SP1709.pdf
- Masino, S., & Nino-Zarazua, M. (2020). Improving financial inclusion through the delivery of cash transfer programmes: The case of Mexico’s progresa-oportunidades-prospera programme. The Journal of Development Studies, 56(1), 151-168. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2018.1546845
- McIntosh, C., & Zeitlin, A. (2018). Benchmarking a child nutrition program against cash: experimental evidence from Rwanda. https://poverty–action.org/publication/benchmarking–child–nutrition–program–against–cash–experimental–evidence–rwanda
- Neves, J. A., de Vasconcelos, F. d. A. G., Machado, M. L., Recine, E., Garcia, G. S., & de Medeiros, M. A. T. (2022). The Brazilian cash transfer program (Bolsa Familia): a tool for reducing inequalities and achieving social rights in Brazil. Global Public Health, 17(1), 26-42. https://doi.org/10.1080/17441692.2020.1850828
- Parker, S. W., & Vogl, T. (2023). Do conditional cash transfers improve economic outcomes in the next generation? Evidence from Mexico. The Economic Journal, 133(655), 2775-2806. https://doi.org/10.1093/ej/uead049
- Pritvorova, T. P., Gelashvili, N. N., Temirbayeva, D. M., & Jazykbayeva, B. K. (2023). Measurement of Absolute Monetary Poverty in Kazakhstan: a system of Indicators and Its Actualization Options. Bulletin of the Karaganda university Economy series, 110(2), 90-101. https://doi.org/10.31489/2023ec2/90-101
- Rakhmetova, A., & Budeshov, Ye. (2020). Quality of life as an indicator of public management performance in the Republic of Kazakhstan. Economic Annals-XXI, 184(7-8), 133-153. https://doi.org/10.21003/ea.V184-12
- Reininger, T., Castro-Serrano, B., Flotts, M., Vergara, M., & Fuentealba, A. (2018). Conditional cash transfers: Social work and eradicating poverty in Chile. International Social Work, 61(2), 289-301. https://doi.org/10.1177/0020872816631601
- Sanchez, G. (2013). PLS Path Modeling with R. (Trowchez Editions). Berkeley, California. https://www.gastonsanchez.com/PLS_Path_Modeling_with_R.pdf
- Schober, G. S. (2019). Conditional Cash Transfers, Resources, and Political Participation in Latin America. Latin American Research Review, 54(3), 591-607. https://doi.org/10.25222/larr.143
- Sharmа, S., Prakash, G., Kumar, A., Mussada, E. K., Antony, J., & Luthra, S. (2021). Analysing the relationship of adaption of green culture, innovation, green performance for achieving sustainability: Mediating role of employee commitment. Journal of Cleaner Production, 303, 127039. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.127039
- Soares, F. V., Ribas, R. P., & Osório, R. G. (2010). Evaluating the impact of Brazil’s Bolsa Familia: Cash transfer programs in comparative perspective. Latin American research review, 45(2), 173-190. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0023879100009390
- Todd, P. E., & Wolpin, K. I. (2006). Assessing the Impact of a School Subsidy Program in Mexico: Using a Social Experiment to Validate a Dynamic Behavioral Model of Child Schooling and Fertility. American Economic Review, 96(5), 1384-1417. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.96.5.1384
Received 2.10.2023
Received in revised form 29.10.2023
Accepted 4.11.2023
Available online 22.02.2024