Economic Annals-XXI: Volume 210, Issue (7-8), Pages: 15-28
Citation information
Issatayeva, F., Aubakirova, G., Togaybaeva, L., Shametova, A., Koshmaganbetova, Zh., & Biryukov, V. (2024). Critical mineral resources: the case of Kazakhstan under the global competition shift. Economic Annals-XXI, 211(9-10), 15-28. doi: https://doi.org/10.21003/ea.V211-03
Farida Issatayeva
PhD (Geology),
Associate Professor,
Abylkas Saginov Karaganda Technical University
106/4 Ermekov Str., Sq. 44, Karaganda,100009, Republic of Kazakhstan
isataeva.farida@gmail.com *
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6208-3292
Gulnara Aubakirova
D.Sc. (Economics),
Professor,
Abylkas Saginov Karaganda Technical University
11 N. Nazarbayev Ave., Apt. 10, Karaganda, 100008, Republic of Kazakhstan
rendykar@gmail.com *
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0337-1539
Lusia Togaybaeva
PhD (Economics),
Abylkas Saginov Karaganda Technical University
106/4 Ermekov Str., Sq. 44, Karaganda,100009, Republic of Kazakhstan
toglusia@mail.ru *
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4469-5022
Aigerim Shametova
PhD (Economics),
Associate Professor,
Abylkas Saginov Karaganda Technical University
17/2 N. Nazarbayev Ave., Apt. 1, Karaganda, 100008, Republic of Kazakhstan
ashametova.74@mail.ru *
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org /0000-0002-7200-1921
Zhanar Koshmaganbetova
MA (Economics and Business),
Senior Lecturer,
Abylkas Saginov Karaganda Technical University
17/2 N. Nazarbayev Ave., Apt. 1, Karaganda, 100008, Republic of Kazakhstan
zhanar_kosh@mail.ru *
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5433-1070
Valery Biryukov
D.Sc. (Economics),
Associate Professor,
Abylkas Saginov Karaganda Technical University
17/2 N. Nazarbayev Ave., Apt. 1, Karaganda, 100008, Republic of Kazakhstan
_valera@mail.ru *
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2712-8840
* Corresponding Author
Critical mineral resources: the case of Kazakhstan under the global competition shift
Abstract. This study presents the authors’ perspective on Kazakhstan’s position during the shift in global competition from hydrocarbon extraction to the race for critical mineral resources in the context of the global energy transition. Describing the response of Kazakhstan’s mining industry to this challenge, the authors offer developing countries a theoretical and practical framework for formulating a new strategy aimed at minimizing environmental impact and finding new ways to create the necessary conditions for the functioning of the rare earth metals industry. This strategy takes into account not only the prerequisites but also the restraining factors for its development against the backdrop of a changing geoeconomic landscape.
The study demonstrates that the growing importance of critical minerals to the global economy, coupled with limited access to them for many countries, could shift Kazakhstan’s position. There is an opportunity not only to conduct responsible exploration, extraction, and processing of critical minerals and to establish a full technological cycle to meet domestic demand, but also for the country to carve out a niche as a global player in the high-tech industry. Kazakhstan could integrate into international technological supply chains, thereby strengthening its strategic autonomy and enhancing its perception by the international community as a key region supplying critical minerals to the global market.
In a context where geopolitical factors, including regional conflicts, are increasing the importance of transcontinental routes and strategic raw materials, the authors’ proposals may be useful for countries with transitional economies in developing plans to diversify sources of critical mineral supplies. A promising area for future research is the study of the role of junior mining companies as new players in the resource extraction sector, as well as expanding their involvement in critical mineral supply chains to strengthen Kazakhstan’s strategic position within the new energy paradigm.
Keywords: Kazakhstan; Investments; Mining Sector; Mining Industry; Critical Minerals; Rare Earth Metals; Lithium; Mining Company; Global Economy; Transitional Economy; Supply Chain; Global Energy Transition
JEL Classifications: JEL: L71; L78; Q56
Acknowledgements and Funding: The authors received no direct funding for this research.
Contribution: The authors contributed equally to this work.
Data Availability Statement: The dataset is available from the authors upon request.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.21003/ea.V211-03
References
- Abraham, D. S. (2015). The Elements of Power: Gadgets, Guns, and the Struggle for a Sustainable Future in the Rare Metal Age. Yale University Press.
- Alonso, E., Sherman, A. M., Wallington, T. J., Everson, M. P., Field, F. R., Roth, R., & Kirchain, R. E. (2012). Evaluating Rare Earth Element Availability: A Case with Revo-lutionary Demand from Clean Technologies. Environmental Science and Technology, 46(6), 3406-3414. https://doi.org/10.1021/es203518d
- Andersen. A. D, Marìn, A., & Simensen, E. O. (2018). Innovations in Natural Resource-Based Industries: a Pathway to Development? Introduction in Special Issue. Innovation and Development, 8(1), 1-27. https://doi.org/10.1080/2157930X.2018.1439293
- Barteková, E., & Kemp, R. (2016). National strategies for securing a stable supply of rare earths in different world regions. Resources Policy, 49, 153-164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2016.05.003
- Binnemans, K., & Jones, P. T. (2015). Rare Earths and the Balance Problem. Journal of Sustainable Metallurgy, 1, 29-38. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40831-014-0005-1
- Brennan, E., & Edström, B. (2011). Rare Earth Elements: The Next Oil? Policy Brief, 78, 1-2. https://isdp.eu/wp-content/uploads/publications/2011_brennan-edstrom_rare-earth-elements.pdf
- Bureau of National Statistics Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan. (2024). Official web-site. https://stat.gov.kz/en/
- Chen, W., Xie, Y., & He, K. (2024). Environmental, social, and governance performance and corporate innovation novelty. International Journal of Innovation Studies, 8(2), 109-131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijis.2024.01.003
- Chen, Y., & Zheng, B. (2019). What Happens after the Rare Earth Crisis: A Systematic Literature Review. Sustainability, 11(5), 1288. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11051288
- Code of the Republic of Kazakhstan. (2017, December 27). On subsoil and subsoil use, No. 125-VI (with amendments and additions). https://online.zakon.kz/Document/?doc_id=31764592 (in Russ.)
- Code of the Republic of Kazakhstan. (2021). Environmental Code of the Republic of Kazakhstan, No. 400-VI ZRK (with amendments and additions). https://online.zakon.kz/Document/?doc_id=39768520 (in Russ.)
- Dostal, J. (2017). Rare Earth Element Deposits of Alkaline Igneous Rocks. Resources, 6(3), 34. https://doi.org/10.3390/resources6030034
- Dutta, T., Kim, K.-H., Uchimiya, M., Eilhann, E. K., Jeon, B.-H., Deep, A., & Yun, S.-T. (2016). Global demand for rare earth resources and strategies for green mining. Environmental Research, 150, 182-190. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2016.05.052
- Energy Prom. (2024). Lithium: despite a colossal surge in demand, only a quarter of all proven reserves are economically viable to extract. https://energyprom.kz/ru/articles-ru/industries-ru/litij-nesmotrya-na-kolossalnyj-vsplesk-sprosa-ekonomicheski-vygodna-dobycha-lish-chetverti-vseh-razvedannyh-zapasov (in Russ.)
- European Commission. (2020). Critical Raw Materials Resilience: Charting a Path towards Greater Security and Sustainability. Communication From the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions. EU. Brussels. https://ec.europa.eu/docsroom/documents/42849
- Fagerberg, J. (1996). Technology and competitiveness. Oxford review of economic policy, 12(3), 39-51. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/12.3.39
- fDi Intelligence news magazine. (2023, December 11). Cambodia carries the strongest FDI momentum into 2024. https://www.fdiintelligence.com/content/News/cambodia-carries-the-strongest-fdi-momentum-into-2024-83236
- Freiman, G. (2021). The Role of MSMEs in Ensuring Critical Raw Materials Supply during the COVID-19 Recovery Phase in Kazakhstan. Almaty. https://unece.org/sites/default/files/2022-06/Report%20MSME%20Kazakhstan%20COVID-19%20Freiman%20RUS.pdf (in Russ.)
- Frenzel, M., Kullik, J., Reuter, M. A., & Gutzmer, J. (2017). Raw material «criticality»-sense or nonsense? Journal of Physics D: Applied Physics, 50(12), 123002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1361-6463/aa5b64
- García-Sánchez, I.-M., Gallego-Alvarez, I., & Zafra-Gomez, J.-L. (2019). Do the ecoinnovation and ecodesign strategies generate value added in munificent environments? Business Strategy and the Environment, 29(3), 1021-1033. https://doi.org/10.1002/bse.2414
- Goodenough, K. M., Wall, F., & Merriman, D. (2018). The Rare Earth Elements: Demand, Global Resources, and Challenges for Resourcing Future Generations. Natural Resources Research, 27, 201-216. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11053-017-9336-5
- Guo, Q., & Wang, Y. (2024). Rare earth trade dependence network structure and its impact on trade prices: An industry chain perspective. Resources Policy, 91, 104930. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.104930
- Hirvilammi, T., Häikiö, L., Johansson, H., Koch, M., & Perkiö, J. (2023). Social policy in a climate emergency context: towards an ecosocial research agenda. Journal of Social Policy, 52(1), 1-23, https://doi.org/10.1017/S0047279422000721
- International Energy Agency. (2022). The Role of Critical Minerals in Clean Energy Transitions. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/ffd2a83b-8c30-4e9d-980a-52b6d9a86fdc/TheRoleofCriticalMineralsinCleanEnergyTransitions.pdf
- International Energy Agency. (2024). Critical Minerals Market Review 2023. IEA, Paris. https://www.iea.org/reports/critical-minerals-market-review-2023
- Ishekenova, B. (2024, January 30). In Kazakhstan, they are looking for new oil. LS Aqparat. https://lsm.kz/kazahstan-aktivno-ishet-litij-v-nedrah-podrobnosti (in Russ.)
- Issatayeva, F. M., Aubakirova, G. M., Maussymbayeva, A. D., Togaibayeva, L. I., Biryukov, V. V., & Vechkinzova, E. (2023). Fuel and Energy Complex of Kazakhstan: Geological and Economic Assessment of Enterprises in the Context of Digital Transformation. Energies, 16(16), 6002. https://doi.org/10.3390/en16166002
- Jacks, D. S., & Stuermer, M. (2020). What Drives Commodity Price Booms and Busts? Energy Economics, 85, 104035. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.05.023
- JSC National Geological Service. (2023). Kazakhstan is ready to unlock lithium potential – Chairman of the Board of JSC National Geological Service. https://geology.kz/en/news/619 (in Russ.)
- Kamenopoulos, S. N., Shields, D., & Agioutantis, Z. (2016). Sustainable Development Criteria and Indicators for the assessment of Rare Earth Element Mining Projects. In I. B. De Lima, & W. L. Filho (Eds.), Rare Earths Industry (pp. 87-109). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-802328-0.00006-1
- Känzig, D. R. (2021). The Macroeconomic Effects of Oil Supply News: Evidence from OPEC Announcements. American Economic Review, 111(4), 1092-1125. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20190964
- Kazakh Telegraph Agency. (2023, October 30). Kazakhstan recycles only 11% of its annual output of mineral waste. https://kaztag.kz/ru/news/kazakhstan-pererabatyvaet-vsego-11-ot-godovogo-vykhoda-mineralnykh-otkhodov- (in Russ.)
- Kursiv. (2017). The Republic of Kazakhstan joined the OECD Declaration on International Investment. https://kz.kursiv.media/2017-06-21/rk-prisoedinilas-k-deklaracii-oesr-po-mezhdunarodnym-investiciyam/ (in Russ.)
- Lukas, B., Pescatori, A., & Stuermer, M. (2024). Energy Transition Metals: Bottleneck for Net-Zero Emissions? Journal of the European Economic Association, 22(1), 200-229. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeea/jvad039
- Mamyshev, Zh. (2023). The government will allocate 11.8 billion tenge for the development of rare and rare earth metal mining. Kursiv. https://kz.kursiv.media/2023-10-30/zhnb-redmetkzplans (in Russ.)
- Mejía, J., & Aliakbari, E. (2024). Survey of Mining Companies, 2023. Fraser Institute Annual. https://www.fraserinstitute.org/sites/default/files/2023-annual-survey-of-mining-companies.pdf
- Metalresearch. (2024). Rare earth metals market (REM market) 2024 (2025). https://www.metalresearch.ru/rare_earth.html (in Russ.)
- Minexforum. (2023). The search for lithium is being intensified in three regions of Kazakhstan. https://minexforum.com/2023/11/16/the-search-for-lithium-is-being-intensified-in-three-regions-of-kazakhstan (in Russ.)
- Mining industry: Central Asia. (2023). Lithium exploration to intensify in three regions of Kazakhstan. https://dprom.kz/novosti/v-tryoh-ryegeeonah-rk-akteevezeeruyut-poesk-letea (in Russ.)
- Mining industry: Central Asia. (2024). National Geological Survey of Kazakhstan: work on replenishing the mineral resource base. https://dprom.kz/geologorazvedka/natsionalnaya-geologicheskaya-sluzhba-kazahstana-rabota-po-vospolneniyu-msb (in Russ.)
- Mordor Intelligence. (2024). Rare Earth Elements Market Size and Share Analysis – Growth Trends and Forecasts (2024-2029). https://www.mordorintelligence.com/ru/industry-reports/rare-earth-elements-market (in Russ.)
- Nassar, N. T. (2017). Shifts and Trends in Global Anthropogenic Stocks and Flow of Tantalum. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 125, 233-250. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2017.06.002
- Pan, J., Hassas, B. V., Rezaee, M., Zhou, Ch., & Pisupati, S. V. (2021). Recovery of rare earth elements from coal fly ash through sequential chemical roasting, water leaching, and acid leaching processes. Journal of Cleaner Production, 284(15), 124725. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124725
- Pitron G., (2020). The Rare Metals War: The Dark Side of Clean Energy and Digital Technologies (trans. B. Jacobsohn). Scribe. https://scribepublications.com.au/books-authors/books/the-rare-metals-war-9781925849325
- Resolution of the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan. (2023, December 28). On approval of the Comprehensive Plan for the Development of the Rare and Rare Earth Metals Industry for 2024-2028, No. 1221. https://adilet.zan.kz/rus/docs/P2300001221/history (in Russ.)
- Sanchez, W. A., Cohen, A., & Hill, W. A. (2023, December). Leveraging Central Asia’s Rare Earth Elements for Economic Growth. International Tax and Investment Center. https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5a789b2a1f318da5a590af4a/t/65792cb79087211182910e96/1702440120367/Leveraging+Central+Asia%E2%80%99s+Rare+Earth+Elements+for+Economic+Growth.pdf
- Schulz, K. J., De Young, J. H. Jr., Seal, R. R., & Bradley, D. C. (Eds). (2017). Critical mineral resources of the United States – Economic and environmental geology and prospects for future supply. US Geological Survey. Reston (VA). https://doi.org/10.3133/pp1802
- Schumacher, K. A., & Green, M. L. (2023). Circular Economy in a High-Tech World. Circular Economy and Sustainability, 3, 619-642. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43615-022-00220-7
- Shen, Y., Moomy, R., & Eggert, R. G. (2020). China’s public policies toward rare earths, 1975-2018. Mineral Economics, 33, 127-151. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13563-019-00214-2
- Silva, G. A., Petter, C. O., & Albuquerque, N. R. (2018). Factors and competitiveness analysis in rare earth mining, new methodology: case study from Brazil. Heliyon, 4(3), e00570. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2018.e00570
- Taiganov, N. (2024). Economic Complexity and Diversification: Kazakhstan Report by Harvard Growth Lab. Mining Industry of Kazakhstan. Export-Oriented Metals. Astana International Financial Centre. https://aifc.kz/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/gornodobyvayushhaya-otrasl-kazahstana-eksportoorientirovannye-metally-rus_compressed-1.pdf (in Russ.)
- The White House. (2017). A Federal Strategy to Ensure Secure and Reliable Supplies of Critical Minerals. Federal Register, 82(246), 60835-60837. https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2017-12-26/pdf/2017-27899.pdf
- U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. (2011). Going Out: An Overview of China’s Outward Foreign Direct Investment. https://www.uscc.gov/research/going-out-overview-chinas-outward-foreign-direct-investment
- United Nations. (2023). World Investment Report 2023. https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/wir2023_overview_ru.pdf (in Russ.)
- Viebahn, P., Soukup, O., Samadi, S., Teubler, J., Wiesen, K., & Ritthoff, M. (2015). Assessing the need for critical minerals to shift the German energy system towards a high proportion of renewables. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 49, 655-671. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2015.04.070
- Wang, J., Guo, M., Liu, M., & Wei, X. (2020). Long-term outlook for global rare earth production. Resources Policy, 65, 101569. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.101569
- Wang, W., Fan, L. W., & Zhou, P., (2022). Evolution of global fossil fuel trade dependencies. Energy, 238, 121924. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.121924
- Williams, C. (2021, February 26). China Continues Dominance of Rare Earths Markets to 2030, says Roskill. MiningCom. https://www.mining.com/china-continues-dominance-of-rare-earths-markets-to-2030-says-roskill
- World Bank. (2024). Annual Report 2024. Official website. https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/annual-report
- Xu, J., Li, J., Charles, V., & Zhao, X. (2024). Evolution of the rare earth trade network: A perspective of dependency and competition. Geoscience Frontiers, 15(3), 101653. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsf.2023.101653
- Xu-guang, Z., Xue-hong, Z., & Jin-yu, C. (2022). Trade dependence network structure of tantalum trade goods and its effect on trade prices: An industry chain perspective. Resources Policy, 79, 103065. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.103065
- Zhou, B., Li, Z., & Chen, C. (2017). Global Potential of Rare Earth Resources and Rare Earth Demand from Clean Technologies. Minerals, 7(11), 203. https://doi.org/10.3390/min7110203
Received 22.04.2024
Received in revised form 17.05.2024
Accepted 20.05.2024
Available online 25.10.2024